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IMF總裁:2023年全球三分之一國家將陷入經濟衰退

IMF總裁:2023年全球三分之一國家將陷入經濟衰退

2022-12-03 12:00
國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)總裁格奧爾基耶娃12月2日在國際金融論壇(IFF)2022全球年會上預測稱,全球至少三分之一的國家將在2023年陷入經濟衰退,亞太地區的情況相對較好,但也面臨諸多不利因素,比如由于很多國家會繼續通過上調利率來對抗通脹,整個亞洲的收益率會進一步上升,貨幣貶值,而烏克蘭危機則將壓低歐洲對亞洲的進口需求。 | 相關閱讀(中國新聞網)
45
Jocelyon

Jocelyon

IMF出來發聲,警示明年全球即將迎來大規模經濟衰退已經不是第一次了。從之前到現在的很多次警示都能看出來IMF的立場是,呼吁政策制定者“堅持到底”,以降低通脹穩定經濟,從這里或許可以看出,IMF是支持延續加息動作,直到度過衰退的。這可能是宏觀經濟層面一個不容忽視的觀點。

不過,在這近一年美聯儲的加息動作帶來的后果,包括不斷加息帶來的匯率和股市波動這些副作用,也不得不納入考量之中,究竟如何度過這場全球性經濟衰退,可能還是沒有定論。

5
江南

江南

我們又不可能是后三分之一啊。專家之言,姑妄聽之。

26
高格析

高格析

經濟學者

From Crisis to Depression

When the winter comes,a very cold weather which could surprise everyone would continue for a long time.

The global economy which was relying on good predictions,international trade and investment ,is downing in recent years.Many people suffered high cost of living and post pandemic influence.Many central banks jump in accelerating rates policy which is harmful to economy itself.

But we must consider that the policy of lifting rates is positive or poison?

Sometime,we must make a hard choice which is a paradox.This is the reality.But we also should pay enough attention to common wealth.

In today's America,good employment was considered as a bad news.What a ridiculous thing! What a strange logics by Wall Street!What a enbelivble working of the Federal Reserve!Good employment means a strong conditions of consumers.That is a great good news! 10% inflation is not terrible.Stick the inflation rate to 2% is stupid.If the salary is growing at a speed more than inflation,the price of living is affordable.What we must consider is the gap between inflation and salary,but the 2%!

When the salary is less than the inflation,the depression is coming.

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